Prediction Market Backtesting

Prediction Market Backtesting

Backtest prediction market strategies

Description

On prediction markets like Polymarket, the only way to test a strategy is with real money. This project is a prediction market backtesting extension for Nautilus Trader that checks strategies against history.

It connects Polymarket data to Nautilus Trader's event-driven engine and reports returns and risk.

Features



Prediction markets:Polymarket data.

Event-driven:Nautilus engine.

Validation:Historical replay.

Metrics:Returns and risk.